The recovery of the global economy was confirmed in 2018. It is nonetheless under high tension. US protectionist measures may well degenerate into a trade war. The European project could falter under the weight of the incapacity of its members to refound it on the economic as well as the political level. These are the topics of discussion for the first session of this presentation conference, in which Eulalia Rubio participates. The 2019 edition of The World Economy also highlights some flaws in the macroeconomic frameworks mobilized by economists to capture the structural transformation of inflation, the effects on the activity of fiscal policies, or the sharing of value added . These aspects are discussed during the second session.

Programme

15:00> 15:10 Introduction by Jézabel Couppey-Soubeyran, Co-Editor-in-Chief of The World Economy 2019

15:15> 16:30 World economy: a recovery under tension
Animation: Marie Viennot, journalist at France Culture
With Sébastien Jean (Director of CEPII), Anne-Laure Delatte (Deputy Director of CEPII), Eulalia Rubio (Senior Researcher at the Jacques Delors Institute), Cornelia Woll (Professor of Political Science at Sciences Po, Paris)

• Growth of the global economy: risk of lurching?
• At the dawn of a trade war?
• Is the European project in danger?

16:35> 17:50 What macroeconomics to guide public decision?
Animation: Christian Chavagneux, columnist at Alternatives Economiques
With Michel Aglietta (scientific adviser at CEPII), Thomas Grjebine (economist at CEPII), Sophie Piton (economist at CEPII)

• Macroeconomists, overwhelmed by the structural transformation of inflation?
• Tax policy, poorly oriented by the current macroeconomy?
• What macroeconomic approach to capture value-added sharing?

17:50> 18:00 Conclusion by Sébastien Jean, Director of CEPII

Entry is free upon registration.